Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 99.790175 110.740799 122.012404 134.454933 147.778234 161.590795 176.966662
2025-03-30 82.802536 99.096385 116.740262 137.148560 159.985608 184.638393 213.146390
2025-04-06 68.412892 88.078574 110.421080 137.389402 168.761653 203.818095 245.657729
2025-04-13 57.443272 79.322536 105.327167 137.954130 177.228356 222.431875 277.825631
2025-04-20 50.518051 74.361202 103.866957 142.149546 189.579639 245.517377 315.543332
2025-04-27 44.432563 69.574421 101.903595 145.169834 200.186952 266.486201 351.036896
2025-05-04 39.924097 66.219165 101.238868 149.419173 212.091766 289.025111 388.687094
2025-05-11 35.637973 62.591853 99.742024 152.219497 221.947752 309.011988 423.416881
2025-05-18 29.256520 55.127206 92.290726 146.439462 220.169856 314.023546 439.330468
2025-05-25 24.771862 49.909352 87.441243 143.687964 221.959542 323.289201 460.452183
2025-06-01 21.603016 46.340640 84.608924 143.424223 226.851301 336.446671 486.558922
2025-06-08 19.327550 43.943110 83.273866 145.096845 234.273995 352.916465 517.073109
2025-06-15 18.083458 43.241411 84.562965 150.748806 247.549680 377.673190 559.196118
2025-06-22 16.456202 41.647782 84.307772 154.048945 257.574790 398.274335 596.252633
2025-06-29 14.471577 39.105969 82.292789 154.517379 263.485965 413.354191 626.199202
2025-07-06 12.769474 36.856831 80.551573 155.244741 269.691618 428.864043 656.887559
2025-07-13 11.872376 36.122686 81.309777 159.870789 281.667777 452.497524 698.812620
2025-07-20 10.868314 35.007402 81.289703 163.189566 291.715592 473.549178 737.468923
2025-07-27 10.144259 34.400710 82.102217 167.827142 303.776533 497.544575 780.376468
2025-08-03 9.282150 33.339367 81.985411 170.879821 313.449153 518.260210 818.997200
2025-08-10 7.449346 29.572753 76.478159 164.605087 308.571572 518.051864 828.612269
2025-08-17 6.214746 27.029585 73.051675 161.616352 308.578477 524.725667 847.741934
2025-08-24 5.385528 25.393713 71.261701 161.331179 312.745815 537.418837 875.378969